Saturday, November 26, 2011

An Early Look at the Pick 4 Sequence

34 runners are entered and escaped the morning scratch list for the $250k guaranteed pick 4 at Aqueduct today and through my first pass, I have only completely eliminated nine runners. My early grid looks like this:

Race A B C
7 1,7 9 2,3,4,10
8 3 5 1,4
9 2,6,8 7 4,5,10
10 5,7,9 8 3,6

If I play $.50 cent tickets, I can use every horse above and have $2 on all As, $1.5 on all As and one B, $1 on two As and two Bs, and $.50 on all As and one C for an investment of $174.50. That will consume the majority of my bankroll and may leave me on the outside looking in of the final six graded stakes later this afternoon.

I really like HAYNESFIELD in the Cigar Mile. He likes Aqueduct and is making his 2nd start off a layoff. While a mile may not be his ideal distance, he finished 2nd in this race last year. If he rates and can make one big run late, he can take this weak grade 1 race whose ML favorite is a 3yo with one G2 win in 2011.


EDIT: I'll work on the table formatting for future posts.

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