I am going to play several exactas excluding the likely favorite, EMBUR'S SONG, figuring this one will succumb to a lively pace up front. We'll box ATLANTIC HURRICANE and ARIANA D for $10 and then play those two over HAPPY WEEK and ZERMATT for $10 and $5, respectively. That's a $50 total play for Sunday's only graded stakes event.
Saturday, November 19, 2011
The Bessarabian Stakes (G3) at Woodbine
Of the nine horses entered in the Bessarabian Stakes at Woodbine, only six have a legitimate shot at finding the winner's circle. ZERMATT has been solid in her last five starts, winning two of them and losing the other three by less than a combined length. This represents a class hike, but could be there with her best effort. ARIANA D is a late runner who should see a favorable pace scenario with plenty of speed here. She was a neck behind MUSICAL ROMANCE in September. MULLINS BEACH probably needed her last and should improve in her second start off a layoff. She has seen similar improvement in the past. EMBUR'S SONG will gun it from the get-go and will be a contender for win honors. HAPPY WEEK is making the 2nd start of her form cycle after winning a 100k optional claimer last out over the Keeneland Polytrack. The Pletcher runner has every right to improve. Finally, ATLANTIC HURRICANE is a versatile runner who doesn't need to be on the lead and should be the one trying to hold off ARIANA D late.
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handicapping
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